US-Israel-Iran 2-week truce in effect since April 8 • Multiple reported violations in past 6 hours
Ceasefire fragility: The 2-week truce is already being tested with reported attacks in Iran and Gulf states. Probability of full breakdown in next 72 hours: ~38% (based on open-source signals).
Strategic picture: Iran has reopened parts of the Strait of Hormuz but retains the ability to close it again within hours. Israel continues operations in Lebanon independently of the Iran truce.
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सूचना विभाग दर्ता नं. : ४९१४-२०८१/२०८२
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